El peso mexicano anticipa una jornada de relativa estabilitas

El anticipa una jornada de relativa estabilidad, en niveles muy cercanos al cierre de ayer alrededor de $19.40 spot. Se espera un día de transición, con bajo volumen de operaciona, porque a pesar de que los mercados en EUA retoman la actividad después del holiday de ayer, solo sería medio día y la majority de los inversionistas en ese país está de vacaciones. For the rest of the day, the exchange rate could fluctuate between $19.32 and $19.45 spot (the euro between $1.034 and $1.043).

Los operators tienen una cita con la temporada de compras navideñas que comienza officially hoy con la celebración del Black Friday. This season is fundamental for many companies, which play during the same large part of their annual results, so they are relevant for investors, because they can determine which companies are showing major resistance in an scenario of high inflation and incipient economic recession. cuáles están siendo ya penalizadas por el mismo.

Por otro lado, in Japan, one of the relevant price indicators is its capital, Tokyo. That is the rate of inflation, which has risen for the sixth month consecutively and is situated at the highest level in the last 40 years, reaching 3.6%, far from the 2% target of the Japanese central bank.

En China, ayer jueves se marcó un record de contagios, y diversas ciudades de todo el país ya están applicando medidas y restrictions para contener los brotes. Se teme que esto pueda retrasar la tan ansiada reapertura de la economia del gigante asiatico, algo que, si finalmente ocurre, acabará por afectar a todo el mundo.

Also in China, the Central Bank announced a second reduction of 25 base points in the deposit reserve ratio applicable to banks in the country, which will enter into force from the 5th of December and liberate around 500 billion yuan ( 68 billion dollars).

In Germany, during the third quarter of the year, the GDP increased by 0.4% compared to the previous quarter. Es una décima más de lo estimato y supone un dato superior al crecimiento del 0.1% del trimestre previo. Este crecimiento se da pesar de las difficult economic conditions worldwide with the actual pandemic of the coronavirus, the bottlenecks in the supply, the increase in prices and the war in Ukraine.

Con relación a las materias primas, la referencia WTI rebota 2.4% a cerca de 80 dolares por barril recortando algo de las recientes pérdidas. This is produced while the expectations of a recovery in the demand of China are fading just when the operators expect more details about a plan of the Group of the Siete to establish a ceiling price for Russian oil, together with the beginning of the sanctions of the Union Europea el 5 de diciembre. In this sense, the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, warned that a possible stop at the price of Russian crude will have “grave consequences” for the world’s energy markets.

En México, en el tercer trimestre de 2022 y con cifras desestacionalizadas, el PIB avanzó 0.9 % a trimestral tasa, limentare por debajo de la estimación oportuna (1.03%). In particular, the primary activities grew 2.0%; terciarias, 1.1% y secundarias, 0.6%. A tasa anual desesationalizada el incremento fue de 4.3%. So, in the first nine months of 2022, the economy expanded 2.8%.

The main stock markets in the world operate with profits, with attention focused on bets on the future steps of the Fed and the situation in China due to the strong rebound in cases of the coronavirus.

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