More rain, severe storms possible

KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Some areas had some strong storms overnight with another tree-thrasher wind that knocked out power to areas, especially in parts of Johnson and Leavenworth counties in Kansas. At one point close to 30,000 customers were without power. This seems to be a growing issue lately.

The storms had winds of 40-60 mph, mostly in the initial outflow that got generated as they were moving across eastern Kansas. In many years that has done that much damage. For whatever reason it seems this year they are doing more damage than usual.

The strongest wind gust I saw was a 64 mph wind near the Lenexa City Center. There were perhaps stronger winds out towards Leavenworth and Jefferson counties on the Kansas side.

Areas that saw the rain got a good shot, 1-2 inches. Many though, especially on the south side of the metro and elsewhere, had little to no rain at all. There will be additional opportunities over the next few days as we sit on the edge of the really hot weather and some relief.

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Kansas City Forecast:

Today: Clouds with diminishing showers this morning. Highs in the low-to-mid-80s.

Tonight: Variable clouds and mild with lows near 70 degrees.

Tomorrow: There could be at least some scattered showers / storms, the timing is during the afternoon. Highs back into the mid-80s.

Friday: Another chance of morning storms. Then we may heat back up if the hotter has spread throughout the area. Highs potentially back into the 90-95 degree range.

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Discussion:

There weren’t a ton of severe weather reports in the immediate metro.

The W’s are strong wind gusts

Though in some cases, it was enough to knock down some trees and tree limbs, which then knocked out the power lines… which then knocked out the power.

Rain did about what I thought it would do: Winners and a bunch of not much to nothings mostly southeast of Interstate 35.

Once you got south of I-435 on Lee’s Summit eastwards, skimpy to almost nothing, which is too bad because these areas have seen much in the last couple of weeks.

There will be other opportunities. The front / outflow from the storms that caused this has been shoved toward the south of the metro.

In all honesty, the 8 am surface map is a bit chaotic mess this morning. There is a front / outflow from the storms south of here.

When is the next chance for severe storms?

Our next chance is to be connected to the monsoonal flow that brings rain to parts of New Mexico and Colorado. Another disturbance may be generated tomorrow and move into the Plains later in the afternoon into a potentially more unstable air mass out west of here.

The Storm Prediction Center is watching that area for the potential of stronger-to-severe storms.

Severe risk level 2 out of 5 for areas west of the metro.

Then depending on how it comes together, there could be extra storms on the I-35 corridor into the metro. So there may be two chances of rain tomorrow: one in the morning and one in the evening. Again, don’t count on either wave giving you needed moisture.

The setup for Friday is a bit murkier. Again though, if something could happen tomorrow, and if the heat could make a transition, then there may be some storms Friday morning.

Then for the weekend, the best chance may be later Saturday connected to a stronger front. We should again heat up into the 90s. The difference compared to the evening is that it is more likely to be in the north and south.

If things slow down a bit, which is possible, then we have more heat and instability to work with, but the cap will be an issue to overcome.

We should see a little more in the heat and humidity by the end of the weekend.

Other tidbits: Today is this anniversary of Holt, Missouri receiving a foot of rain in about 42 minutes!

And today marks this one in weather record history:

The feature photo comes from Rylee Elizabeth Reeter up towards Chillicothe, Missouri.

Joe

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