Oil rises as market weighs tight supply, recession fears

The chimneys of the Total Grandpuits oil refinery are seen just after sunset, southeast of Paris, France, March 1, 2021. REUTERS / Christian Hartmann

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SINGAPORE, July 8 (Reuters) – Oil prices edged slightly higher in volatile Asian trade on Friday, reversing earlier losses as the market weighed up the tight global supply concerns against recession fears.

Brent crude futures rose 48 cents, or 0.5%, to $ 105.13 a barrel at 0630 GMT, after a near 4% rise on Thursday. US West Texas Intermediate crude inched up 3 cents to $ 102.76 a barrel, having settled 4.2% higher a day earlier.

However, both contracts are still set for their second straight weekly loss. Trade this week was marked by a sharp sell-off on Tuesday, when WTI slid 8% and Brent tumbled 9%.

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Brent’s $ 10.73 drop was the third biggest for the contract since it started trading in 1988.

“With more rate hikes to come and the US likely in a technical recession, top-side market ambitions could be quite limited,” Stephen Innes, managing director at SPI Asset Management, told Reuters.

“The only reason why oil is not lower is due to self (imposed) and official sanctions on Russian oil,” Innes added.

Western bans on Russian oil and gas output have kept global energy prices buoyed, while other major producers have yet to significantly boost supplies.

“The sell-off in the commodity markets got a reprieve as traders shrugged off recession fears and turned their focus back to the undersupply issues,” CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng said in a note.

“However, the economic uncertainties remain with the inverted benchmark bond yields pointing to an unavoidable recession, which may continue to weigh on commodity prices.”

Central banks across the world are raising interest rates to tame inflation, spurring fears that rising borrowing costs could stifle economic activity and reduce oil demand.

Data from US Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed on Thursday that product supplied, the best proxy for US consumer demand, rose to 20.5 million barrels per day in the most recent week. Overall gasoline and distillate demand over the past four weeks, however, was down a little more than 5% from the year-ago period. read more

US crude inventories (USOILC = ECI) rose by 8.2 million barrels in the week to July 1, EIA data showed, driven by an increase in inventories and as refiners cut output.

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Reporting by Florence Tan and Jeslyn Lerh; Editing by Tom Hogue, Kim Coghill and Alexander Smith

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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