The Bottom Line
During the daytime hours Wednesday, we’ll find ourselves in between two storm systems. So it will be a dry, warm, humid, and (dare I say) summer-ish day.
Then we get soaked. Heavy rain is expected to arrive Wednesday night through Thursday morning. There could be some big puddles and flooding issues.
Thursday turns into a nice day. Friday looks great. And then the weekend starts not so great – gloomy and wet.
As of this writing (6 am), overnight rain has exited New Jersey. And we’re left with some spotty mist and drizzle to start the day. But not for long – we’ll continue to dry out Wednesday morning.
Humidity levels won’t be steamy or stifling on Wednesday, but noticeable. That’s going to add a certain “summerlike” flair to the air.
Look for periods of sun and clouds. High temperatures will push to about 80 to 85 degrees Wednesday afternoon.
Again, this is so far. Rain looks to push into New Jersey again just before Midnight Wednesday night.
And models suggest it’s really going to pour overnight. The heaviest, steadiest rain will come around midnight and daybreak Thursday morning. Widespread rainfall totals on the order of a half-inch to an inch are likely. Some models show a swath of 2 to 3 inches – that’s a lot of water, and enough to ring alarm bells for flooding and “big puddles”.
Guidance does show marginal instability in the atmosphere through early Thursday. So I think there could be some rumbles of thunder. And maybe some 30+ mph wind gusts. But widespread “severe weather” (wind, hail, tornadoes) seems like this time around.
The morning commute is going to be wet, as rain continues until about mid-morning. (Things may dial back to scattered showers after sunrise, though that’s not a guarantee.)
As skies dry and clear out, it’s still going to be warm and sticky to start on Thursday – I expect thermometers to reach about 80 degrees by midday, give or take.
The tricky piece of this forecast is the timing of a cold front, which is now expected to take hold of NJ Thursday afternoon. A few stray showers or even an isolated thunderstorm may popup along that boundary. And then, we’ll feel drier, more refreshing heading into Thursday evening.
Ah, another no-complaints, beautiful weather day. Mostly sunny skies will meet dry weather and low humidity on Friday. High temperatures will once again hit about 80 degrees.
Blah. Not a great way to start a June weekend.
As clouds take over and we pick up an on-shore breeze, temperatures will probably get stuck in the 60s all day Saturday. And it is going to rain, although I’m still not sure if it will be “a few wet hours” or “a total washout”. The steadiest stuff looks to fall over the midday hours on Saturday.
I would not cancel your outdoor plans for Saturday just yet. But you might start thinking about backup plans.
Easily the better day of the weekend, though not perfect.
Models are now plugging in a few showers during the daytime hours on Sunday. But it’s not a convincing solution, as most of the day will feature mostly cloudy skies and seasonable high temperatures in the mid-upper 70s. Sounds quite pleasant if we dodge the raindrops.
The Extended Forecast
I don’t want to dig too deep into the 6+ day forecast, because the weekend will play out. The GFS shows generally pleasant weather for early next week, with a shower chance on Monday and highs in the upper 70s. The Euro shows heat building next week, with widespread 80s. So no “big, bad” storms – but there are a few options on the table.
Dan Zarrow is Chief Meteorologist for Townsquare Media New Jersey. Follow him on Facebook or Twitter for the latest forecast and realtime weather updates.
One of the Top 50 Candy stores in the US is right here in Jersey
I decided to take a trip down there for myself to see what they had to offer. Right, when you walk in you feel like you are Charlie about taking over the chocolate factory. Black River Candy Shoppe is a cute little candy shop offering hundreds of different types of candy.
They have old-school childhood candy as well as the incredible selection of newer candy varieties. Candy is displayed in old whiskey barrels, and a lot of their candy is sold in bulk by the pound. It is located in downtown Chester right off of Main Street. Check out the photos from my recent visit:
POP QUIZ: Can you name all 10 interstate highways in New Jersey?